Frankly despite what the polls and the bookies say I think the new parliament will look pretty similar to the current one. There might be one or two upsets (like the Greens winning Melbourne of the back of Lindsay Tanner's retirement) but that is about it.
Why? Well I think that despite voters disappointment with the current government they will get to the ballot box on the 21st and realise that Tony Abbott is not Prime Ministerial material. Just like the flirtation that we had Mark Latham at the end of the day voters will realise that he just won't cut it.
I firmly believe the Howard misread the electorate in the 2004 election as an overwhelming endorsement of him as opposed to a rejection of Latham. In this the election we have the same factors, an electorate that is dissatisfied with the performance of the government and seeking a suitable alternative, they know however that Tony Abbott is not it.
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